Rumors say China is willing to offer a reduction of its annual trade deficit with the US by US$200 billion. Even if China would be willing to do so, it would almost be “difficult to contemplate.”, says political analyst Victor Shih to Bloomberg.Read More →
We have seen this before, says financial analyst Victor Shih about the efforts by the financial authorities in China to reduce debts. In 2014 they tried the same, and in 2015, 2016 the PBOC, China’s central bank, started to print money again. When economic growth comes under a certain level, that will happen again, he tells Bloomberg.Read More →
China’s government seems eager to control debts, even when it means a mitigation of economic growth. But the financial stimulus will remain a trusted tool in the country’s financial toolbox, in case growth drops too far, says financial analyst Victor Shih at the Deutsche WelleRead More →
As China prepares for the second term of president Xi Jinping, the world wonders what is behind his acts. Political analyst Victor Shih, author Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation takes at the Guardian a helicopter view on Xi’s anti-corruption drive, his global aspirations and plans for the future.Read More →
The first five years of president Xi Jinping’s rule saw many promises on financial and economic reforms. But he fell short on delivering on those promises, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih to Quartz.Read More →
China faces a financial dilemma, as it wants economic growth, and forces local governments to borrow more money, against the wishes of the central government, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih in the CeMEAS Conversations on China’s economic future. But external threats to the country’s stability do exist, he adds. Read More →
The decision by China’s insurance supervisor CIRC to take over Anbang, did not come as a surprise, says financial analyst Victor Shih to the Washington Post. The move will “inject a dose of confidence,” he added.Read More →
China’s economy is more and more controlled by the state, but the country is also pledging more openness. Political analyst Victor Shih looks at CNBC whether China can deal with this conundrum, or not. China’s agenda and ambitions are clear, but now how they might work out, he says.Read More →
Hong Kong has been taken over silently by mainland China in financial terms already before the handover by the UK in 1997, says financial analyst Victor Shih to AFP. But what has gone wrong is the lack of tools to control that take-over, especially when Xi Jinping defined corruption as the major evil to be addressed, Shih says.Read More →
Calculating China’s debt has been a major political game, and political analyst Victor Shih claims the country’s debt “around 328% of GDP in May”, writes Livemint. The central bank overcalculated banking assets, he says.Read More →
Retiring central banker Zhou Xiaochuan called this week for the liberalization of China’s currency, the Yuan. But conservative forces might find this step from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) a step too far, says financial expert Victor Shih to Bloomberg.Read More →
Financial scams are emerging in China on an epidemic scale. Rising costs of living have enticed many to join these scams, says Victor Shih, associate professor in political economy and China expert at the University of California San Diego to the BBC. Local government did not step in.Read More →