Debts are high on the agenda of the central and local governments, as local resources to pay debts of get capital for investments diminish, tells associate-professor Victor Shih in Bloomberg. The efforts of the central government to relieve local governments from debts might not help everybody.Read More →
One of the reasons for China to drop the value of its currency was to get into line with the IMF requirements to become a global reserve currency. Much of the country´s actions is about prestige, says associate professor Victor Shih at WFDD.Read More →
The recent downturn in the stock market and the government restrictions on money capital transfers might hit transfers in China´s football leagues, says financial analyst Victor Shih to Associated Press. “It is a general problem for wealthy people in China who are major shareholders in companies,”Read More →
China has accumulated debts US$25 trillion and because of the relative high interest rates, that level of debt is unsustainable, argues financial analyst Victor Shih at the USC U.S.-China Institute. And when China gets into trouble, there is no IMF-style institution with enough capital to save it. A crashing stock market also does not help.Read More →
Much noise has been produced in the past year on how state-owned companies might or might not reform. Political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation does not see that much genuine reform, he tells the China Economic Review. Read More →
China´s stock markets might have dropped already more than 30%, but there is more room to fall, tells financial analyst Victor Shih in Quartz. Existing sell orders will put downward pressure on the market, he says.Read More →
China´s lawmakers are preparing for their annual sessions of the advisory CPPCC and the National People´s Congress. Among them a large amount of influential business people. Political analyst Victor Shih explains the interaction between business and politics in China in the New York Times.Read More →
Many expected a more violent end to the protests in Hong Kong, but not financial expert Victor Shih, he tells in the Institutional Investor. He was not surprised by the cautious approach Beijing displayed in Hong Kong.
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Scholar Victor Shih is interviewed by the China Daily, on how he analyzed the links between different factions in China´s politics. A dive into China´s capital markets since 2009, achieved Victor Shih high praise as one of the first to document China´s serious debts.Read More →
China has a long tradition of manipulating its financial data to meet its political needs. That ability is still prominently present, also today, says political scientist Victor Shih in the Global and Mail. China´s economy is much weaker than official figures suggest.Read More →
Speculations have been mounting the current governor or China´s central bank PBOC, Zhou Xiaochuan, is up for retirement soon. Bloomberg asked financial experts who they expect might be the next central banker. Financial expert Victor Shih explains why he puts his cards on Yi Gang.Read More →
China has announced it will cut salaries of key managers at its state-owned banks. A bad idea, tells political scienist and financial analyst Victor Shih in Businessweek. An exodus of bankers would cause “a big mess”.Read More →