Slowing economic growth, uncertainty about measurement tools being used and promises by the government for reform. Those are just three elements making assessing China´s GDP for the coming years tough. Financial analyst Sara Hsu gives it a go at the Diplomat.Read More →
Lower barriers to capital accounts, make it easier to trade in China´s currency, the Renminbi. Offshore trading centers expand, at the country builds up it financial leverage. Financial analyst Sara Hsu has a look at the expanding RMB clearance banks in the Diplomat. After Hong Kong, London, Frankfurt and Seoul, Paris and Luxembourg followed.Read More →
China´s corporate debt last week outstripped the US, according to a report by Standard and Poor´s, a staggering US$14.2 trillion at the end of 2013. But it is not only the size that matters, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. China´s corporate debts is very different from that in the US.Read More →
Fraud and scandals have been dragging real estate and commodities down in Northeaster Qingdao, with real estate prices dropping up to 30 percent. Financial analyst Sara Hsu sees it as a potential scenario for shadow banking in more parts of China, she writes in the Diplomat.Read More →
Inflation is up, but business analyst Shaun Rein does not expect the government to push more liquidity into the economy, he tells at Bloomberg TV. The weak domestic demand is troublesome, though, he says: “I have never seen it so bad in my 17 years in China.Read More →
Dire predictions for the trust industry have not materialized, because of smart interventions by China´s financial authorities. But that does not mean the industry is off the hook, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in The Diplomat. Danger from the property market will remain till the end of 2014.Read More →
The way the central government is ruling its currency, the Renminbi, has changed profoundly over the past months. Economist Arthur Kroeber argues in the Brookings Institute that the rules for the currency have changed profoundly.Read More →
China is about to start regulating its financial jungle of wealth management products, one of the causes of its giant shadow banking system. Time to protect the consumers against those risky products, writes financial analyst Sara Hsu in the Diplomat. An overview of the regulationsRead More →
Liberalization of the interest rates is a first important step in financial reforms, but it is not enough, tells financial analyst Sara Hsu in the EastAsiaForum. Next the state needs to let the state banks go.Read More →
Whether China property bubble is popping, or more slowly evaporating, the effects on its economy will be enormous. Financial analyst Sara Hsu lists three of the most important effects for The Diplomat. She predicts no crash, but very serious effects indeed.Read More →
After Alibaba filed this week its paperwork for its upcoming IPO. Business analyst Ben Cavender looks at its great profitability, but also risk from competition in e-commerce and fear for pressure fro the big Chinese banks.Read More →
Financial analysts Sara Hsu has been predicting doomsday scenario´s for China´s financial stability in the past. But the announced financial reforms have made her carefully optimistic about the direction the country is taking, she writes in the China Brief.Read More →