Financial expert Victor Shih, director of the 21st Century China Center at the University of California San Diego School of Global Policy and Strategy, discusses today’s state of China’s economy at the Centre for Geopolitics with William Hurst, and how it has developed in the 25-year long collaboration between both.Read More →
China’s economic situation has deteriorated over the past two months, says business analyst Shaun Rein in a discussion on CNBC. The hope for a financial bazooka to boost the economy by the government has not materialized and is unlikely to do so. The government seems fine with the current 4/5% growth and also lacks the money to spend as tax income has remained poor, while geopolitical challenges forces the Chinese government to be prudent too.Read More →
Days are gone when Chinese consumers carried large plastic bags of cash to pay for houses, cars, international trips, and other big-ticket purchases. Credit cards are big among especially younger consumers, says Shanghai-based business analyst Shaun Rein at the WSJ.Read More →
Financial expert Victor Shih dives into the 2024 figures at the annual NPC and concludes China cannot roll over debts anymore and finance its budget like it did before. He tells Bloomberg that central state policies have increasingly replaced a market-driven economy.Read More →
China is the only economy that has survived in history several downturns successfully, is the second largest economy, and as the largest country in population, we should focus on it, says Singapore-based super-investor Jim Rogers in an interview with FSC Board Member Andrew Pancholi.Read More →
China’s economy is not going to recover for the next two years, says renowned investor Jim Rogers to The Deep Dive. For the first time, the country is deeply indebted, faces a global bear market, and has not been able to solve the downturn in its real estate, he tells at the Deep Dive.Read More →
One of the major nuisances for foreign visitors to China might be gone as the country’s major payment giants, Tencent (operating WeChat Pay) and the Ant Group (operating Alipay) agreed to accept foreign credit cards on their platforms. Up to now, visitors needed to have a Chinese bank account to use those common payment tools in China.Read More →
China has a longstanding tradition of bailing out large debtors using huge asset management companies (AMCs). But today they cannot solve the country’s real estate problems, says political and financial analyst Victor Shih to the Japan Times. “Any state injection into the AMCs could add further strain to the nation’s finances,” says Victor ShihRead More →
China’s real economic problem: they increase capital spending, but are not able to improve productivity that is already at a shockingly low level, says leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, at a panel at CSIS discussing with Thomas Orlik, Chief Economist for Bloomberg Economics, and author of the book, China: The Bubble That Never Pops. While an economic collapse is unlikely, a grinding halt to economic development might be its largest danger, Kroeber adds.Read More →
The sanctions put on Russia because of the Ukraine crisis by the US and its allies might move Russian trade to China, says Harry Broadman, a former US trade negotiator, and World Bank official, to Reuters.Read More →
Almost half a year ago the real estate giant Evergrande started to fall apart under its 300 billion US dollar debts, but the collapse – expected by many – has not yet emerged. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains in the Commercial Observer why this collapse has not happened.Read More →
Financial and political analyst Victor Shih explains how the fall of Evergrande was triggered off by new financial regulations, and why Evergrande cannot be compared to the Lehman crisis in the US, he tells at a discussion at the German MERICS institute.Read More →