China’s financial institutions ponder on the pros and cons of a currency devaluation as the effects of the trade war with the US start to kick in. While devaluation is on the agenda, it would be a tricky road, says financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, at CapitalWatch.Read More →
Devaluating the Chinese Yuan can be an attractive, but also dangerous way for China to deal with the effect of the ongoing trade war, says financial and political analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation to Reuters. ” It is likely that corruption is returning, which will undermine Chinese capital control measures.”Read More →
China’s financial authorities try to manage shadow banking, corporate leveraging and now also a heated trade war. Financial analyst Sara Hsu explains how the country’s banks are walking a scary tightrope, at the EastAsiaForum.Read More →
China’s central bank PBOC is dressing up its figures. Financial analyst Victor Shih, author of Factions and Finance in China: Elite Conflict and Inflation, has for Bloomberg a look at the methods the bank is using. Bloomberg: Including asset-backed securities in its measure is a way for the central bankRead More →
More than once selling US bonds in the hands of China has been suggested as a powerful tool in the trade war with the US. But selling those treasuries does not make sense, says economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know® in the South China Morning Post.Read More →
We have seen this before, says financial analyst Victor Shih about the efforts by the financial authorities in China to reduce debts. In 2014 they tried the same, and in 2015, 2016 the PBOC, China’s central bank, started to print money again. When economic growth comes under a certain level, that will happen again, he tells Bloomberg.Read More →
Economists seldom all agree when it comes to China’s economic future, but there is a widespread optimism about the expected country’s performance for 2018, tells leading economist Arthur Kroeber, author of China’s Economy: What Everyone Needs to Know®, to the South China Morning Post.Read More →
President Xi Jinping has promised more financial reforms, but financial analyst Sara Hsu says managing risk is key, over the need for reform. Fintech, debts and due diligence are some themes in the next five years of China’s financial development, she adds at the state broadcaster CGTN.Read More →
Calculating China’s debt has been a major political game, and political analyst Victor Shih claims the country’s debt “around 328% of GDP in May”, writes Livemint. The central bank overcalculated banking assets, he says.Read More →
Retiring central banker Zhou Xiaochuan called this week for the liberalization of China’s currency, the Yuan. But conservative forces might find this step from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) a step too far, says financial expert Victor Shih to Bloomberg.Read More →
Online financial institutions like Alibaba’s Ant Financial and Tencent are developing new business models, where they make money on the giant amount of data they collect. Financial authorities are stepping in, for the right reasons, says business analyst Shaun Rein to the China Daily.Read More →
Chinese authorities have started to regulate the usage of the bitcoin. That is not necessarily a bad thing, writes Shanghai-based lawyer Mark Schaub at the website of his law firm. “Regulation should be seen as an opportunity, too. More stringent rules translate to lower investment risk and increased legitimacy.”Read More →